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CBB Sports Betting Preview: 1.17.2015 - Mid-Day Games

by: @dickiesalvatori - posted on: 17-Jan-2015

Michigan State @ Maryland

This number flew down from three into the 2/2.5 range and it is likely a combination of both public and sharp money. Tom Izzo has been very good as a dog during his career and now his Spartans get a revenge opportunity in College Park against the Terps.

Maryland has looked sluggish and less offensively sure of themselves in the last 1-2 weeks. MSU still has a ways to go defensively, but they shoot the three at a good clip and, so long as they find more diversified offense than what was seen in their home loss to Maryland, they should have a shot to keep this tight.

This won't be an easy game for the visitor and its never easy to back a road dog at such a short number, especially when you look at how good Maryland has been at times. While the Terps do some things which will make it tough for MSU here, I like this game to go down to the wire and feel like Izzo will make enough corrections to give his team a good chance at covering this and potentially winning.

Michigan State +3 (-120)

Baylor @ Kansas State

This is a Big 12 outing with some serious potential as both clubs look to keep some momentum going after picking up some key wins in the last week or so.

Baylor's size down low will create trouble for the Wildcat bigs. Baylor is a very strong defensive club overall, and the fact that Bruce Weber's team has worked inside-out on offense is indicative of their preferred desire to feed their veteran bigs.

That style isn't as likely to work when you look at Baylor's length. On the flip side, Baylor doesn't exactly have the sort of offense I would want to back on the road in this spot. They can often look sluggish and K-State is strong enough out front to prevent the Baylor guards from dictating things on the offensive end. For those reasons, this spread is tight and I'll opt to lay off.

Georgia Tech @ Pittsburgh

The Yellow Jackets' midweek, home loss to N.D. has to be lingering on their minds and Pittsburgh, on the other hand, looked stronger against FSU a few nights back.

This spread opened at six, moved down to five and then moved back up. G.T. is picking up 60-65 percent of spread bets on the road, but this just feels like a trap. While I don't want to lay this number with the home team given their recent history as home favorites, Georgia Tech doesn't look like the right side to this game and so I'd look to play Pitt in-game at a reduced figure.

Syracuse @ Clemson

'Cuse is fresh off an overtime win over G.T. earlier in the week, but they are still dealing with the loss of their freshman center. This rotation is going to have to be shuffled around a bit, but the key to beating them for anyone is still going to be stopping Rakeem Christmas.

From what I've seen from Clemson this season, they are basically the same club they have been in recent years. They have two, 6'10 centers down low to throw at Christmas, but both are young and raw in nature.

Jaron Blossomgame is a big key to this match-up, though. The 6;7, sophomore has the talent to attack this zone in the middle and if he can get either Christmas or Tyler Roberson in foul trouble, it will go a long way here.

All in all, I don't trust the Clemson offense, but this is a decent spot for them when you look at what Syracuse is right now and also factor in where the public is heading on this one, the home team would make for a nice proposition if the number (+1/1.5) were a bit better. 

Butler @ Georgetown

Georgetown is much better offensively than in recent seasons and that is what will make this battle with Butler all the more interesting. The Bulldogs have looked great the last week and a half, but this trip to D.C. will be a challenge on the pace front for them.

This spread moved from three up to four but we are seeing the juice extent upwards on the road dog right now. I generally like Butler in this spot, especially when you look at what their bigs can do down low against Josh Smith. 

The real concern for me, though, comes down to Butler's guard handling the Georgetown pressure. If they can do that, they likely win this game. I'm not sure I have enough confidence in that happening and so I'll lay off this one as it could be a tough spot for the Bulldogs.