The Milwaukee Bucks (34-12 SU, 26-17-3 ATS) have out-performed everyone this year, but they’re still a distant fourth to win the NBA title at +1100. Maybe a road win this Sunday over the Oklahoma City Thunder (29-18 SU, 26-21 ATS) will earn them some attention. ESPN has the coverage at 6 PM ET.

The Bucks lead the league in point differential at plus-10, over three points per game better than anyone else, and they’ve got one of this year’s top MVP candidates in Giannis Antetokounmpo. But playing in a small market, on a team that hasn’t made it to the second round of the playoffs since 2001, has allowed Milwaukee to keep a low profile and continue shredding the NBA lines.

Oklahoma City (+2100 to win the title) have the same small-market issues, along with the league’s reigning MVP in Russell Westbrook, but they’re a familiar commodity after making the Western Conference Finals four times this decade. Injuries have kept the Thunder from playing at an elite level this year, although their plus-4.9 point differential is good for third place in the West. Defensive stopper Andre Roberson remains out indefinitely while he recovers from surgery on his left knee.